Asymptosis: Always Approaching

Tag: obama

  • Study Sez: Rich States Are Full of Swingers

    No, I’m not commenting on their sexual mores. I’m talking swing voters. A new study (PDF) by Joe Stone and Steve Hayes suggests that most or all of the market-crash-fueled movement to Obama in these closing weeks is likely to be in rich states. If you’re thinking battlegrounds/close contests, that means Colorado, Virgina, and Nevada.…

  • McCain on a Roll? Not.

    Since emerging as the presumptive Republican nominee, John McCain's primary results have been tepid by any measure. 5/27-ID    70%5/20-OR    855/20-KY    725/13-WV    765/6-IN    785/6-NC    744/22-PA    734/11-MS    79 Compare George Bush's primary results after sealing the nomination–consistently in the high 90s. McCain has broken 80% exactly once, and his latest–70% in Idaho–is his lowest number yet. If…

  • Choosing a VP For All the Right Reason

    Speaking of who Obama should choose as a running mate, David Brooks thinks "He should be thinking about who can help him govern successfully so he can get re-elected." This reminds me of a scene from The West Wing. Jed Bartlett is trying to decide whether to run again with John Hoynes, with whom he…

  • Hillary: It’s Over. Obama: It’s McCain, Stupid. Ignore Hillary.

    I actually mean no disrespect to my preferred candidate, or to Hillary, neither of whom who is anything like stupid. Just misquoting Carville. 1. As Mark Schmitt points out,  there’s no way Hillary will get a lead in the popular vote. (Andrew Sullivan: “The logic behind this seems inescapable to me.”) 2. As I pointed…

  • The Real Delegate Count: Ignoring the Super(fluous) Delegates

    It may seem amazing with all the analysis out there, but I had to assemble these basic facts on non-super delegates myself. Assumptions/sources: Pledged delegates will decide it. Superdelegates won’t override because it would cause a nuclear meltdown. (Nightmare scenario: Clinton wins some even-vaguely-construable semblance of the popular vote, somehow assembled from some combination of…

  • WSJ: Obama, like Reagan, “changes the trajectory”

    Barack Obama caught all sorts of grief from small-minded lefties when he said that Reagan “changed the trajectory” of America, and that Clinton didn’t. That was actually a serious understatement. When Clinton announced in his 1994 State of the Union that "the era of big government is over" (and then repeated it later in the…