Asymptosis: always approaching

  • Want to Spread the Power? Spread the Wealth.

    You’re forever hearing Republicans and conservatives saying that they want to put decision-making–political power–in the hands of states and localities. This post by Arnold Kling is a good example out of thousands. The reasoning is not crazy (though it is contestable): Wisdom of the crowds. More people trying different policies results in succesful policies winning,…

  • Are Machines Replacing Humans? Or: Am I a Luddite?

    Update: You can find a followup post including some brief answers from Robin Hanson (and my commentary on same) here. My gentle readers will undoubtedly remember a question I’ve asked repeatedly: as technology steadily increases productivity, will we (have we) come to a point where a large portion of workers can’t do “valuable” enough work…

  • ‘Pubs Love Catastrophic Coverage. Too Bad the Free Market Doesn’t Provide It

    Perhaps with very good reason, free-marketeers believe that catastrophic health coverage produces the best market efficiencies. People pay for everyday health care out of their own pockets, which gets them to shop for services and ask what the cost is, pushing costs down. They have an inexpensive insurance plan with a high deductible to cover…

  • Deficits Don’t Matter? The (Supposed) Experts Speak

    Dick Cheney famously said, “Reagan proved that deficits don’t matter.” I’ve argued elsewhere that this was a political, not an economic statement. People love to complain puritanically about debts and deficits, but they vote for politicians who promise to cut their taxes. Hence the 30-year hegemony of Reaganomics. But do deficits mattter (economically)? In particular,…

  • Pubs: You Had a Blank Piece of Paper for Eight Years

    Since you didn’t do anything, why should we think that you’ll do anything this time? Here’s the cost of doing nothing: In case tea-partiers are finding the arithmetic troubling, if we’d adopted the Clinton plan we’d currently be saving close to half a trillion dollars a year. If we’d adopted Nixon’s plan, we’d be saving…

  • Where Did the Deficit Come From? From “Conservatives,” of Course

    While poking around for info on the previous post, I came across this graphic: Which comes from this especially great WikiPedia page. Which just re-emphasizes what we’ve seen since WWII, and especially since 1980: Related posts: Largest Oil Spills Talking About Food Trends in Intergenerational Mobility: Declining Opportunity Since 1980 Galbraith Translates “Trickle Down”: Eat…

  • Okay, “Conservatives,” What Spending SHALL We Cut?

    Not surprisingly, somebody went out and asked them. Here are the results: Source. I think this pretty much speaks for itself, though it’s worth noting the commonly misunderstood fact that foreign aid accounts for less than 1% of Federal spending. Related posts: It’s Unanimous: Cut Spending! (As long as you don’t cut spending!) What’s Wrong…

  • “Out of Control Spending”? Not So Much

    A comment by flipspiceland on a previous post, about Democratic senators and “out of control” spending, got me curious about our spending numbers compared to other large, prosperous countries. Short story: our governments (fed, state, local) are incredibly frugal compared to the rest of the world. This even with a defense budget that’s larger than…

  • Democrats are Profligate Spendthrifts! Oh…Wait…

    Damn I’m busy today. I came across yet another great Wikipedia page that I really had to share: National debt by U.S. presidential terms. I’ll just share a little top-line data. There’s much more over there. Average Increase, 1978-2005 Spending Debt GDP Under Democratic Presidents 9.9% 4.2% 12.6% Under Republican Presidents 12.1% 36.4% 10.7% Who…

  • Galbraith Translates “Trickle Down”: Eat Shit

    In digging around for the previous post, I came across  this beaut on Wikipedia (can’t believe I’ve never seen it before), and just can’t resist sharing it: The economist John Kenneth Galbraith noted that supply side economics was not a new theory. He wrote, “Mr. David Stockman has said that supply-side economics was merely a…

  • David Stockman on Starving the Beast: “It doesn’t work. Game over.”

    You remember David Stockman, right? Reagan’s “whiz kid” budget director? He’s the man who engineered the last thirty years of Republican dominance by implementing The Reaganomics Strategy: borrow money from our children and from abroad to buy votes at home with the “I’ll cut your taxes” pander. Stockman has never been the type to twirl…

  • Cutting Taxes Creates Growth: Yeah, Right

    Cactus at Angry Bear does yeoman’s work yet again to drive a spike into the heart of voodoo/trickle-down/supply-side Reaganomic ideology, demonstrating what economists have known for decades: Keynes was right. Over the short term–one to three years–raising taxes hurts economic growth. Deficit spending (read: low taxes and high spending) promotes economic growth over the short…

  • A “Center-Right” Country? Not So Much.

    Gallup: Solidly Democratic or leaning Democratic: 33 states (plus D.C.) Fairly evenly balanced: 12 states Solidly or leaning Republican: 5 states Four words for Democrats: get out the vote. Related posts: Pubs and Dems: Brands and Beliefs Engineering a Permanent Democratic Majority Everything Sez: “Obama Landslide.” What Gives? McCain’s Steel Ceiling: Who Loves Ya, Baby?…

  • Yeah, Right, The Recession’s Over

    We’ve been hearing more about “jobless recoveries” over the years, but it’s pretty profound how rapidly the trend is increasing. Calculated Risk: Months to Return to Full Employment 1981:  28 1990:  31 2001:  47 2007:  ?? This multi-decade trend suggests to me that there’s something secular and structural at play. I suggest this. Related posts:…

  • The Sky Is Falling! Business Lending Down 1.2 Percent!

    All hands on deck! Run for the exits! The Economist has just reported that lending to businesses in the euro area contracted by 1.2% from October of last year to October of this year. With that kind of catastrophic free-fall in lending, it’s not hard to understand why unemployment has gone up by 28% in…

  • Investment Bankers are *Victims!*

    Responding to a U.K. tax on bank bonuses: “This is extreme victimisation,” said one senior investment banker. “A lot of people have been working their tails off, never seeing their families to try and fix the problems of the past and now they are being discriminated against. It just makes me want to quit the…

  • Volcker: “Give me one shred of neutral evidence that financial innovation has led to economic growth”

    I pointed out recently that: From 2003 to 2008, the value of global over-the counter derivatives increased 300%–by a factor of four, while U.S. fixed capital (read: productive assets) increased by only 25%. Profits (or so-called profits) for U.S. financial companies have gone up 258% since Q4 2008, while profits for nonfinancials have gone up…

  • Bush/McCain Economic Advisor Sez: Raise Taxes

    Douglas Holtz-Eakin was Chief Economist for the Council of Economic Advisers from 2001-2002. He was Director of the Congressional Budget Office from 2003-2005. He was John McCain’s chief economic advisor during the presidential campaign. In the WSJ, he says Obama “should call on Congress to pass a comprehensive reform of our income and payroll tax…

  • GDP and Corporate Profits: Smoke and Mirrors?

    Justin Fox has pointed out tellingly that not only was Q3 GDP growth overstated–it’s already been revised from 3.5% (annualized) down to 2.8%, and is likely to be re-revised again some more (downward, of course)–it also includes some profound anomalies regarding corporate profits. In short–surprise!–it’s the financials that are doing all the moving and “improving.”…

  • Reason and Intuition: Is There Really Any Difference?

    My sister just sent me the link to this discussion by Razib Khan on reason and intuition–timely, because it refers to Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives by Michael Specter, who I just saw (and spoke to briefly) when he spoke at University of Washington last week…

  • Will the Right Kill the Republicans? Ask the Whigs.

    I’m as curious as anyone about the long-term effects of hard-right Republicans on the Republican party. Will their zealotry result in the party’s rupture and collapse? This led me to look at the two significant national parties from America’s history that have collapsed and disappeared: the Federalists and the Whigs. The Federalists came apart because…