Category: Uncategorized
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S&P 500 Earnings: The Most Depressing Graphic I’ve Seen This Year
It’s worth taking a minute to look at this one. Related posts: How The Great Moderation Destroyed the Fed’s Credibility Red States Sucking the Federal Teat Businesses Constrained by Lack of Investment? Oh, Maybe Not. Rick Perry Got a D in Principles of Economics Recessions Are Nature’s Way of Keeping the Little Guy Down
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Free Will. Again. Some More.
Responding with only limited time to do so to a very interesting discussion prompted by a Bryan Caplan post: Obviously, indeterminism (i.e. developmental noise making identically-gened twins different from each other) does not satisfy as an explanation of free will. The weather system does not have free will. Need to look elsewhere. Just to point…
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Win-Win Utilitarianism: The Greatest Good For the Greatest Number
Scott Sumner at The Money Illusion has a very interesting (followup) post on Utilitarianism–the doctrine (as here described on Wikipedia) that “the moral worth of an action is determined solely by its contribution to overall utility: that is, its contribution to happiness or pleasure as summed among all persons.” In other words, aggregate utility or…
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Shakespeare Authorship (sigh): They’re At It Again
Yet again, we have Supreme Court justices giving credence to the wacky notion that William Shakespeare of Stratford did not write the plays of William Shakespeare. Reported in the the WSJ. It just goes to show that even supreme court justices who have long histories of probity and prudence can issue totally loony opinions. (cf…
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Joe Thinks Obama’s an Appeaser, and FDR Caused The Great Depression
Sigh. I stepped into a pissing match over on my friend Mike’s Facebook page, and since I don’t feel right continuing to piss on his wall, I’ve moved it over here. It all started with Mike posting this photo with the fairly innocuous and flippant comment, “This doesn’t look like a man shake to me.”…
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Gore: Subsidizing Dirty Energy?
It's true, this idea came along as Will Wilkinson was rather frantically back- or re-pedaling from a previous everything's-going-so-WELL post of his, said pedaling being necessary because Felix Salmon pointed out that the original post made no sense at all: Will’s argument, it seems to me, seems to rely on the peculiar idea that we’ll…
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The Best Path to Prosperity?
Between 1970 and 2000, GDP per person rose by 64% in the United States and by 60% in France. In America, this came about because productivity per worker rose by 38% and hours worked per worker rose by 26%. In France, it came about because productivity rose by 83% while hours worked fell by 23%.…
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Who’s Fiscally Responsible?
This is old news, but here are the latest figures. Federal Debt: 1940–2019: (Updated 1/31/2010) Yet another of those telling inflection points in 1980. (With a brief respite in the late nineties.) The red line–Gross Debt–is the scary (and actual) one; it includes loans from government trust funds (mainly Social Security) that will have to…
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Supply Side: Are We Winning Yet?
Here’s how we’ve been doing versus the socialist welfare states over the last thirty-five years: I had no idea what results I’d find. (Though I’ll freely admit that I hoped to see Reagan and the Bushes looking rosy-cheeked.) Not so much. Zealots will tout the biggest plus year (Reagan) and biggest minus (Clinton), but that’s…
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Why Did Edwards Quit?
Even after his conference call with supporters yesterday (I’ve only seen a brief recap of the call), the question remains: why? Why did he quit, and why now? His explanations still just don’t feel satisfyingly explanatory. Party unity? Getting poverty firmly on the agenda? Here’s what I would like to believe: He saw that he…
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Warren Buffett: Estate Tax Good
Buffett testified to Congress on Monday. Why isn’t the blogosphere talking about this? Short story, Buffett is foursquare behind the estate tax. He points out that the basis step-up at death (cap gains taxes just go away) is a huge gift to survivors, 99.5% of whom pay no estate taxes. “If people insist on renaming…
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Tax the Rich! And make us all richer?
Lane Kenworthy takes up the tax-rates-on-the-rich-versus-GDP-growth discussion (hat tip to Free Exchange for the pointer). His key point: more important than top marginal rate, is the effective rate that top earners pay. The post is also quite interesting in concentrating on the GDP-growth effect of taxes on the top 1% of earners. Unfortunately this chart…
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The Economist’s New Gilded Age
Since The Economist chose not to publish my incredibly cogent response to a recent “Economics Focus†column, I’ll share it with them (and you) here: The new (improved) Gilded Age Dec 19th 2007 The very rich are not that different from you and me; or less different, perhaps, than they used to be The article…
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Pinker on Morality: Libs and Cons
The NYT Magazine‘s cover story this week is “The Moral Instinct†by Steven Pinker. (Full disclosure: He’s my idol; I am such a groupie for this guy.) Here’s one of the things I like about the article: He cites five “spheres†of morality devised by psychologist Jonathan Haidt: not harming, fairness, loyalty, respect for authority,…
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Nature: Good?
Megan McArdle nicely skewers the Naturalistic Fallacy today, responding to an article in Reason, quoting Lew Rockwell: Reason quoting Rockwell: “Wishing to associate with members of one’s own race, nationality, religion, class, sex, or even political party is a natural and normal human impulse.†Megan: Anyone who has ever observed a two-year-old knows that lying,…
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Government: BAD? — Part 4: Higher Taxes, More Prosperity
This one came as quite a surprise even to me. In general, among developed countries, those with higher taxes over the last thirty years have higher GDP per capita today than lower-taxing countries. I think the graph speaks for itself. Related posts: Government: BAD? — Part 3: Taxes and GDP Growth Supply Side: Are We…
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Government: BAD? — Part 3: Taxes and GDP Growth
Do higher taxes result in slower growth? That’s the basic assertion made by tax-cut advocates. If we lower taxes, we’ll grow faster and all boats–rich and poor–will rise. It’s a great idea. Too bad it’s not true. Few will disagree that in the short term (generally), tax increases impede growth. But over the long term…
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Government: BAD? — Part 2: American Prosperity
Update: For those who prefer the (in this case unequivocal) aggregate opinions of economists and econometricians who have studied this subject, I recommend this review of those experts’ efforts. Their conclusions resoundingly debunk the faith-based spending-and-taxes-kill-growth belief system (even as some of those experts continue to cling to it in direct contradiction of their own…
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Government: BAD? — Part 1 of a Series
Are government, taxes, and spending really such irredeemably bad things?
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Social Security “Risk”: What’s Really True?
Is equity investment of Social Security funds in private/personal accounts "risky"? Or will it save the system? What should true conservatives be in favor of? Many of the arguments on both sides are based on wrong assumptions or form specious conclusions.The first question, on equity investments: Would long-term, well-diversified equity investments provide higher returns than…